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[B]Mr Ratsiraka might indeed feel aggrieved if he did lose power just as the economy is coming right. After a two-decade spell as a socialist, then a few years of exile, he bounced back into the presidency in 1996 to impose austere neo-liberal reforms. These are now paying off. Many people are still desperately badly off, living in villages without roads, electricity or doctors. But, according to an optimistic IMF report on December 13th, the economy may turn out to have enjoyed 6.7% growth this year and inflation is low.
[C]In a high turnout, he took nearly 80% of the votes in the capital, and well over half in other cities. Results from the less susceptible countryside are slowly coming in. They narrow the gap, but he still seems to have a chance of either beating the incumbent, Didier Ratsiraka, outright or facing him in a run-off next year.
[D]A swelling flow of tourists comes to the island to see its rainforests, lemurs and tropical beaches. Sales of textiles to America are doing well, thanks to tariff reductions there. And, in the past few years, Asian investors have opened dozens of factories in special export zones around the capital. Mr Ratsiraka has managed to negotiate debt relief that almost halves the amount the country spends on servicing its debts.It is thus able to spend a bit more on schools and hospitals. Incomes in the cities are clearly up. A good rice harvest this year, and the absence of cyclones, has eased hunger in the countryside.
[G]EXCITEMENT is in the air in Madagascar, a vast island of 15m people off the east coast of Africa. On December 16th its voters trudged to the polls from their homes in highland towns and remote forest villages to pick a president. Many favoured Marc Ravalomanana, a tycoon who is also the handsome young mayor of the capital, Antananarivo.
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